Now, at a moment when mathematicians are finally moving in on a proof, Dartmouth professor Dan Rockmore tells the riveting history of the hunt for a solution.In 1859 German professor Bernhard Riemann postulated a law capable of describing with an amazing degree of accuracy the occurrence of the prime numbers. Rockmore takes us all the way from Euclid to the mysteries of quantum chaos to show how the Riemann hypothesis lies at the very heart of some of the most cutting-edge research going on today in physics and mathematics.

    As the recent collapse on Wall Street shows, we are often ill-equipped to deal with uncertainty and risk. Yet every day we base our personal and business plans on uncertainties, whether they be next month's sales, next year's costs, or tomorrow's stock price. In The Flaw of Averages, Sam Savage-known for his creative exposition of difficult subjects- describes common avoidable mistakes in assessing risk in the face of uncertainty. Along the way, he shows why plans based on average assumptions are wrong, on average, in areas as diverse as healthcare, accounting, the War on Terror, and climate change. In his chapter on Sex and the Central Limit Theorem, he bravely grasps the literary third rail of gender differences.Instead of statistical jargon, Savage presents complex concepts in plain English. In addition, a tightly integrated web site contains numerous animations and simulations to further connect the seat of the reader's intellect to the seat of their pants.The Flaw of Averages typically results when someone plugs a single number into a spreadsheet to represent an uncertain future quantity. Savage finishes the book with a discussion of the emerging field of Probability Management, which cures this problem though a new technology that can pack thousands of numbers into a single spreadsheet cell.Praise for The Flaw of Averages"Statistical uncertainties are pervasive in decisions we make every day in business, government, and our personal lives. Sam Savage's lively and engaging book gives any interested reader the insight and the tools to deal effectively with those uncertainties. I highly recommend The Flaw of Averages." --William J. Perry, Former U.S. Secretary of Defense"Enterprise analysis under uncertainty has long been an academic ideal. . . . In this profound and entertaining book, Professor Savage shows how to make all this practical, practicable, and comprehensible." ---Harry Markowitz, Nobel Laureate in Economics

    'Big data', 'data science', and 'machine learning' have become familiar terms in the news, as statistical methods are brought to bear upon the enormous data sets of modern science and commerce. How did we get here? And where are we going? This book takes us on an exhilarating journey through the revolution in data analysis following the introduction of electronic computation in the 1950s. Beginning with classical inferential theories - Bayesian, frequentist, Fisherian - individual chapters take up a series of influential topics: survival analysis, logistic regression, empirical Bayes, the jackknife and bootstrap, random forests, neural networks, Markov chain Monte Carlo, inference after model selection, and dozens more. The distinctly modern approach integrates methodology and algorithms with statistical inference. The book ends with speculation on the future direction of statistics and data science.

    An abundance of applications to current economic analysis, illustrative diagrams, thought-provoking exercises, careful proofs, and a flexible organization-these are the advantages that Mathematics for Economists brings to today’s classroom.

    This hilarious and informative book is designed for anyone who is sci-curious and wants to know more about the world around them, especially the elements of everyday science that other books ignore.

    It proposes enlightening similarities between, for instance, maneuvering in limited war and in a traffic jam; deterring the Russians and one's own children; the modern strategy of terror and the ancient institution of hostages.

    A person would spend their entire career with ONE company and then upon retirement they would receive a pension which was a guaranteed paycheck every month for the rest of their life. Most Americans have no chance at getting that deal anymore. The burdens, challenges, and risks of today's world are far greater. The stock market has seen negative returns for an entire decade. Health care costs are up but benefits are down. Life expectancy has dramatically increased but pensions are all but extinct! We are in a time when people need guaranteed income more than ever, yet fewer people have it than ever before. Paychecks and Playchecks: Retirement Solutions For Life is a guide for retirement that is BUILT for markets like these. It's a roadmap for surviving, and thriving, in difficult economic times. This book is not an Op-Ed on how "Average Joe" can invest to generate huge returns. It is a mathematical and scientifically proven guide on how to create a solid retirement with as much upside potential and downside protection as possible. Its purpose is to help you make absolutely sure that you have guaranteed lifetime income to keep you and your family protected in any market.By using simple financial products properly, having a plan for long term care, and utilizing cutting edge estate planning ideas, Paychecks and Playchecks will show you how to retire with enough guaranteed lifetime income to cover your basic expenses and optimize the rest of your portfolio to make sure you receive your "playchecks." It's not rocket science - it's financial sense. Despite what most experts say, "Happily ever after" still exists and it starts with Paychecks and Playchecks: Retirement Solutions For Life.

    In the modern experimentalist paradigm, these techniques address clear causal questions such as: Do smaller classes increase learning? Should wife batterers be arrested? How much does education raise wages? Mostly Harmless Econometrics shows how the basic tools of applied econometrics allow the data to speak.In addition to econometric essentials, Mostly Harmless Econometrics covers important new extensions--regression-discontinuity designs and quantile regression--as well as how to get standard errors right. Joshua Angrist and Jorn-Steffen Pischke explain why fancier econometric techniques are typically unnecessary and even dangerous. The applied econometric methods emphasized in this book are easy to use and relevant for many areas of contemporary social science.An irreverent review of econometric essentials A focus on tools that applied researchers use most Chapters on regression-discontinuity designs, quantile regression, and standard errors Many empirical examples A clear and concise resource with wide applications

    This guide also helps you understand the many data-mining techniques in use today.Based on an MBA course Provost has taught at New York University over the past ten years, Data Science for Business provides examples of real-world business problems to illustrate these principles. You’ll not only learn how to improve communication between business stakeholders and data scientists, but also how participate intelligently in your company’s data science projects. You’ll also discover how to think data-analytically, and fully appreciate how data science methods can support business decision-making.Understand how data science fits in your organization—and how you can use it for competitive advantageTreat data as a business asset that requires careful investment if you’re to gain real valueApproach business problems data-analytically, using the data-mining process to gather good data in the most appropriate wayLearn general concepts for actually extracting knowledge from dataApply data science principles when interviewing data science job candidates

    A software diskette provides an easy-to-use tool for students to derive probabilities for binomial.

    As Guy Kawasaki puts it, If the two most popular words in your company are "partner" and "strategic," and "partner" has become a verb, and "strategic" is used to describe decisions and activities that don t make sense . . . it s time for a reality check. For nearly three decades, Kawasaki has earned a stellar reputation as an entrepreneur, venture capitalist, and irreverent pundit. His 2004 bestseller, "The Art of the Start," has become the most acclaimed bible for small business. And his blog is consistently one of the fifty most popular in the world. Now, Kawasaki has compiled his best wit, wisdom, and contrarian opinions in handy book form. From competition to customer service, innovation to marketing, he shows readers how to ignore fads and foolishness while sticking to commonsense practices. He explains, for instance: How to get a standing ovation The art of schmoozing How to create a community The top ten lies of entrepreneurs Everything you wanted to know about getting a job in Silicon Valley but didn t know who to ask Provocative, useful, and very funny, this no bull shiitake book will show you why readers around the world love Guy Kawasaki."

    It bridges the gap between the mechanics of econometrics and modern applications of econometrics by employing a systematic approach motivated by the major problems facing applied researchers today. Throughout the text, the emphasis on examples gives a concrete reality to economic relationships and allows treatment of interesting policy questions in a realistic and accessible framework.

    Each chapter takes up a pair of opposites, such as "New Traders try to prove they are right; Rich traders admit when they are wrong." Dozens of such pairs offer a psychological mirror to serious readers. -Alexander Elder www.elder.com Here is a work that puts the reader in the mind of a fledging trader who makes all the mistakes then learns from them. Told in an instructive and entertaining narrative, the author takes the reader through the trading concepts with a clarity and ease of understanding. A must read for beginning and intermediate level traders.-Dr. Chris Kacher, co-founder of www.SelfishInvesting.com and co-author of "How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market"You have done a truly tremendous job with this book! A breezy read with essential trading advice. I think this book could become a trading classic! So many great rules are offered in this book, but I think my favorite might be Chapter 8's. It is SO true! Just printing out the title of each chapter and putting it on your desk would greatly benefit every trader I know. Steve, you've done a great job!-"Darrin Donnelly, DarvasTrader.com."Steve Burns has done a superb job with his new book "New Trader, Rich Trader"! This is a must read for all levels of traders. Golden nuggets include important concepts like "I always put capital preservation before capital appreciation." Steve tackles psychology, risk control, and what it takes to succeed in this business where so many fail. As Steve says "most new traders learn the hard way by losing money...," don't be one of them, do yourself a favor and buy this book, because not only is it a great investment, but the concepts in this book will save you plenty!-Bennett McDowell, Founder, TradersCoach.com(r) Author: "A Trader's Money Management System: How to Ensure Profit and Avoid the Risk of Ruin"Steve Burnsdescribes three of the most critical aspects of trading with a "dialogue-style' book between a novice trader and an experienced successful trader. Psychology - making sure your mindset is correct and in the game with a solid, realistic, and objective plan. Risk Management - the key to it all and ones ability to understand andmanage all aspects of risk control. Methodology - making sure you fit a trading plan to your own unique style while understanding what prior successful traders did as well. The teacher/student lessons discussedshould be of valueto all traders.-John Boik, author of "How Legendary Traders Made Millions" and "Monster Stocks"Steve has crafted an easy-to-read tutorial on avoiding the most common mistakes made by new traders. Save yourself years of heartache and buy this book and do your homework. New Trader, Rich Trader should be mandatory reading for the novice investor.-Kenneth Lee, author of "Trouncing the Dow&quo

    No matter your interests (sports, movies, politics), your industry (finance, marketing, technology, manufacturing), or the type of organization you work for (big company, nonprofit, small start-up)—your world is awash with data.As a successful manager today, you must be able to make sense of all this information. You need to be conversant with analytical terminology and methods and able to work with quantitative information. This book promises to become your �quantitative literacy" guide—helping you develop the analytical skills you need right now in order to summarize data, find the meaning in it, and extract its value.In Keeping Up with the Quants, authors, professors, and analytics experts Thomas Davenport and Jinho Kim offer practical tools to improve your understanding of data analytics and enhance your thinking and decision making. You’ll gain crucial skills, including:� How to formulate a hypothesis� How to gather and analyze relevant data� How to interpret and communicate analytical results� How to develop habits of quantitative thinking� How to deal effectively with the �quants” in your organizationBig data and the analytics based on it promise to change virtually every industry and business function over the next decade. If you don’t have a business degree or if you aren’t comfortable with statistics and quantitative methods, this book is for you. Keeping Up with the Quants will give you the skills you need to master this new challenge—and gain a significant competitive edge.

    and how to have more of it.Are you stymied by debt? Clueless about where your paychecks go?Journalist, podcaster and reformed money mess Frances Cook is here for you. Tales from a Financial Hot Mess is the story of Frances getting her money sh*t sorted. With no idea where she was going wrong and what to do about it, she took it upon herself to learn from the best – and soon found out that the fixes were right in front of her the whole time. (She just needed to wise up a bit.)Frances learned the hard way so you don’t have to.Dishing up a brilliant, often hilarious personal narrative, proven financial advice, handy how-tos (and please-don’ts) and many expert insights (from 22 actual experts), this book will guide you along the rocky path to financial freedom – however that might look for you.Tales from a Financial Hot Mess is the real deal – not another bulleted, tabled, graphed lecture from a financial advisor who’s never had issues with money. Read it and enjoy – who knows, you might learn a thing or two.What have you got to lose?