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Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter by Andrew C. Harvey
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Introduction to Probability
Dimitri P. Bertsekas - 2002
This is the currently used textbook for "Probabilistic Systems Analysis," an introductory probability course at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, attended by a large number of undergraduate and graduate students. The book covers the fundamentals of probability theory (probabilistic models, discrete and continuous random variables, multiple random variables, and limit theorems), which are typically part of a first course on the subject. It also contains, a number of more advanced topics, from which an instructor can choose to match the goals of a particular course. These topics include transforms, sums of random variables, least squares estimation, the bivariate normal distribution, and a fairly detailed introduction to Bernoulli, Poisson, and Markov processes. The book strikes a balance between simplicity in exposition and sophistication in analytical reasoning. Some of the more mathematically rigorous analysis has been just intuitively explained in the text, but is developed in detail (at the level of advanced calculus) in the numerous solved theoretical problems. The book has been widely adopted for classroom use in introductory probability courses within the USA and abroad.
Statistical Inference
George Casella - 2001
Starting from the basics of probability, the authors develop the theory of statistical inference using techniques, definitions, and concepts that are statistical and are natural extensions and consequences of previous concepts. This book can be used for readers who have a solid mathematics background. It can also be used in a way that stresses the more practical uses of statistical theory, being more concerned with understanding basic statistical concepts and deriving reasonable statistical procedures for a variety of situations, and less concerned with formal optimality investigations.
Elements of Information Theory
Thomas M. Cover - 1991
Readers are provided once again with an instructive mix of mathematics, physics, statistics, and information theory.All the essential topics in information theory are covered in detail, including entropy, data compression, channel capacity, rate distortion, network information theory, and hypothesis testing. The authors provide readers with a solid understanding of the underlying theory and applications. Problem sets and a telegraphic summary at the end of each chapter further assist readers. The historical notes that follow each chapter recap the main points.The Second Edition features: * Chapters reorganized to improve teaching * 200 new problems * New material on source coding, portfolio theory, and feedback capacity * Updated referencesNow current and enhanced, the Second Edition of Elements of Information Theory remains the ideal textbook for upper-level undergraduate and graduate courses in electrical engineering, statistics, and telecommunications.
FxLifeStyle - Forex Frontiers "The Essentials of Currency Trading"
Ivan Cavric - 2011
The full set comprises the following titles:Book 1: FOREX Frontiers: The Essentials of Currency TradingBook 2: FOREX Frontiers: Proven Strategies for SuccessBook 3: FOREX Frontiers: What the Pros Won't Tell YouBook 1: FOREX Frontiers: The Essentials of Currency Trading is basicaly aimed a Forex novices and introduces all the main concepts of this subject in an easy-to-follow style.Book 2: FOREX Frontiers: Proven Strategies for Success will then progress your knowledge further by introducing intermediary concepts. In particular, it will discuss the pros and cons of a number of Forex trading strategies in depth.Book 3: FOREX Frontiers: What the Pros Won't Tell You is intended to help you develop your mindset to that of professional traders by expanding the concepts presented in the first two books. In particular, you will be introduced to Forex ideas and strategies that will enable you to maximize your Forex earnings.Forex is the common abbreviation for the FOReign EXchange Market which is used by its participants to trade different currency pairs, e.g. EUR/USD and USD/YEN. You can readily access this vibrant market by employing the facilities and services of one of the many existing Forex brokers.You may also be aware that Forex is heavily promoted by extensive marketing campaigns emphasizing how easy it will be for you to make a living, if not a fortune, from trading Forex. However, you must realize from the outset that Forex is a complex subject and trading it successfully is by no means a forgone conclusion.Special Note: As you proceed through this book, you will encounter some specialized terms preceding numbers in square brackets. Refer to the reference section at the end of this book for further reading.
Baseball Between the Numbers: Why Everything You Know About the Game Is Wrong
Jonah Keri - 2006
Properly understood, they can tell us how the teams we root for could employ better strategies, put more effective players on the field, and win more games. The revolution in baseball statistics that began in the 1970s is a controversial subject that professionals and fans alike argue over without end. Despite this fundamental change in the way we watch and understand the sport, no one has written the book that reveals, across every area of strategy and management, how the best practitioners of statistical analysis in baseball-people like Bill James, Billy Beane, and Theo Epstein-think about numbers and the game. Baseball Between the Numbers is that book. In separate chapters covering every aspect of the game, from hitting, pitching, and fielding to roster construction and the scouting and drafting of players, the experts at Baseball Prospectus examine the subtle, hidden aspects of the game, bring them out into the open, and show us how our favorite teams could win more games. This is a book that every fan, every follower of sports radio, every fantasy player, every coach, and every player, at every level, can learn from and enjoy.
Dumb Money
Daniel Gross - 2009
Companies are shutting down and laying off workers, 401ks are melting away, and the government is spending $700 billion dollars to bail out banks and financial institutions -- and that's only the beginning. The financial services industry, and the many industries that depend on it -- from housing to cars -- is in intensive care. So what happened? How did we get to this point of financial disaster? Is the economy just a huge, Madoff-esque Ponzi scheme? It is a complicated and confusing story -- but Daniel Gross of Newsweek has a special gift for making complicated matters easy to understand and even entertaining. In Dumb Money, he offers a guide to the debacle and to what the future may hold. This is not so much a book about who did what, though that's part of the story. Rather, it pieces together the building blocks of the debt-fueled economy, and distills the theory and personalities behind our late, lamented easy money culture. Dumb Money is a book that finally lays it all out in an engaging way, and might just help people invest their money smartly until the gloom passes.
Evidence-Based Technical Analysis: Applying the Scientific Method and Statistical Inference to Trading Signals
David Aronson - 2006
Throughout the book, expert David Aronson provides you with comprehensive coverage of this new methodology, which is specifically designed for evaluating the performance of rules/signals that are discovered by data mining.
Humble Pi: A Comedy of Maths Errors
Matt Parker - 2019
Most of the time this math works quietly behind the scenes . . . until it doesn't. All sorts of seemingly innocuous mathematical mistakes can have significant consequences.Math is easy to ignore until a misplaced decimal point upends the stock market, a unit conversion error causes a plane to crash, or someone divides by zero and stalls a battleship in the middle of the ocean.Exploring and explaining a litany of glitches, near misses, and mathematical mishaps involving the internet, big data, elections, street signs, lotteries, the Roman Empire, and an Olympic team, Matt Parker uncovers the bizarre ways math trips us up, and what this reveals about its essential place in our world. Getting it wrong has never been more fun.
Introduction to Econometrics (Addison-Wesley Series in Economics)
James H. Stock - 2002
This text aims to motivate the need for tools with concrete applications, providing simple assumptions that match the application.
Basics of Indian Stock Market: Learn Markets From Scratch (Financial Education Book 1)
ANGSHUMAN ADHIKARI - 2018
This book is written in a simple manner for readers to understand the various terminologies and working process of the financial markets. If you are looking to understand and enter the stock markets but don't know from where to start, then this book is for you. The basic concepts are same for Indian and overseas markets so it will help you understanding both. It will help you as a reference guide for investing in stock markets. Specifically it will help you in:- 1. Know basic terms and conditions of the stock market. 2. Know products and services associated with the stock market. 3. Know how to kick start in stock markets. 4. know Do's and Don'ts in Stock Markets. 5. Selecting a broker. 6. How to make your first trade. 7. Additional mental mastering technique that will help you to achieve more on markets as well in life. 8. Insight of a trader/investor who has more than 10+ years of experience in stock markets. 9. Illustrated examples for more clarity on topics.
Redefining Global Strategy: Crossing Borders in a World Where Differences Still Matter
Pankaj Ghemawat - 2007
Most economic activity—including direct investment, tourism, and communication—happens locally, not internationally.In this “semiglobalized” world, one-size-fits-all strategies don’t stand a chance. Companies must instead reckon with cross-border differences. Ghemawat shows you how—by providing tools for:· Assessing the cultural, administrative, geographic, and economic differences between countries at the industry level and deciding which ones merit attention.· Tracking the implications of particular border-crossing moves for your company’s ability to create value.· Creating superior performance with strategies optimized for adaptation (adjusting to differences), aggregation (overcoming differences), and arbitrage (exploiting differences), and for compound objectives.In-depth examples reveal how companies such as Cemex, Toyota, Procter & Gamble, Tata Consultancy Services, IBM, and GE Healthcare have adroitly managed cross-border differences—as well as how other well-known companies have failed at this challenge.Crucial for any business competing across borders, this book will transform the way you approach global strategy.
Turning Numbers into Knowledge: Mastering the Art of Problem Solving
Jonathan G. Koomey - 2003
In addition to containing numerous updates to the contents—references, URLs, and reading lists—this second edition includes a new foreword, revised chapters, and an epilogue. Mastering the art of problem solving takes more than proficiency with basic calculations; it requires understanding how people use information, recognizing the importance of ideology, learning the art of storytelling, and acknowledging the important distinction between facts and values. Intended for executives, professors, and students, this guide addresses these and other essential skills.
The House Advantage: Playing the Odds to Win Big In Business
Jeffrey Ma - 2010
Years later, Ma has inspired not only a bestselling novel and hit movie, but has also started three different companies—the latest of which, Citizen Sports, is an innovative marriage of sports, betting, and digital technology—and launched a successful corporate speaking career. The House Advantage reveals Ma's cutting-edge mathematical insights into the world of statistics and makes them applicable to a wide business audience. He argues that numbers are the key to analyzing nearly everything in the world of business, from how to spot and profit from global market inefficiencies to having multiple backup plans in anticipation of every probability. Ma's stories and business lessons are as intriguing as they are universally applicable.
Doing Bayesian Data Analysis: A Tutorial Introduction with R and BUGS
John K. Kruschke - 2010
Included are step-by-step instructions on how to carry out Bayesian data analyses.Download Link : readbux.com/download?i=0124058884 0124058884 Doing Bayesian Data Analysis: A Tutorial with R, JAGS, and Stan PDF by John Kruschke
Multivariate Data Analysis
Joseph F. Hair Jr. - 1979
This book provides an applications-oriented introduction to multivariate data analysis for the non-statistician, by focusing on the fundamental concepts that affect the use of specific techniques.