Essentially, you make an initial guess, and then get more data to improve it. Bayes Theorem, or Bayes Rule, has a ton of real world applications, from estimating your risk of a heart attack to making recommendations on Netflix But It Isn't That Complicated This book is a short introduction to Bayes Theorem. It is only 15 pages long, and is intended to show you how Bayes Theorem works as quickly as possible. The examples are intentionally kept simple to focus solely on Bayes Theorem without requiring that the reader know complicated probability distributions. If you want to learn the basics of Bayes Theorem as quickly as possible, with some easy to duplicate examples, this is a good book for you.

    What do you want to learn? Discover the Power of Real Data Mario Triola remains the market-leading statistics author by engaging readers of each edition with an abundance of real data in the examples, applications, and exercises. Statistics is all around us, and Triola helps readers understand how this course will impact their lives beyond the classroom–as consumers, citizens, and professionals. Essentials of Statistics, Fourth Edition is a more economical and streamlined introductory statistics text. Drawn from Triola’s Elementary Statistics, Eleventh Edition, this text provides the same student-friendly approach with material presented in a real-world context. The Fourth Edition contains more than 1,700 exercises (18% more than the previous edition); 89% are new and 81% use real data. The book also contains hundreds of examples; 86% are new and 92% use real data. By analyzing real data, readers are able to connect abstract concepts to the world at large, teaching them to think statistically and apply their conceptual understanding using the same methods that professional statisticians employ. Datasets and other resources (where applicable) for this book are available here.

    Others have trouble falling asleep. Yet others are bedridden and wish to gently exercise each day. Yoga in Bed for All Ages is the perfect solution.These poses are specifically designed to be done in a bed. There are both sitting and lying down poses. For those who cannot sit up, alternative suggestions are provided.Study after study finds that yoga helps with lower back pain, depression, energy levels, balance, post-traumatic stress, focus, sleep, and much more. Whether you need to reset after a busy day or wish to have more joy in your daily life, yoga can help. It nurtures your body and embraces your soul.Join us to take that first step forward into a healthier, happier you.Namaste.This book Yoga in Bed for All Ages is intended to be free on all systems, to help those who are in need of support find a step toward a more contented life. If the system you are currently on requires a charge to download, all author's proceeds will benefit battered women's shelters.This book is a companion piece to my other two free books - one on full-length yoga routines and the other on a quick ten-minute yoga routine. Each provides a different avenue for including yoga in your daily life.Feel free to contact Lisa if you have any questions about her routine - she's happy to help!

    Not anymore. The best-selling author of The Complete Idiot's Guide® to Calculus has taken what appears to be a typical calculus workbook, chock full of solved calculus problems, and made legible notes in the margins, adding missing steps and simplifying solutions. Finally, everything is made perfectly clear. Students will be prepared to solve those obscure problems that were never discussed in class but always seem to find their way onto exams.--Includes 1,000 problems with comprehensive solutions--Annotated notes throughout the text clarify what's being asked in each problem and fill in missing steps--Kelley is a former award-winning calculus teacher

    He waited. And waited. He never heard back a single response. Fear began to creep in. He couldn’t find a job because of one simple reason: He was blending in with the masses. Panic began to race through his mind. "Seriously, what the hell am I doing here?" He took a deep breath, stepped back and assessed the situation. And then a stroke of genius hit him. He was going to be bold. Inspiring. Outrageous. Awkward. Funny. Unbelievable. It was in this moment Matt Epstein created the most viral and successful job campaign of our lives. By the time his campaign was finished, he had amassed these results: • Received 80 interview offers from companies like Google, Salesforce.com, Microsoft, Amazon, Etsy and SigFig (among many more) • Received over 400,000 unique visits and 720,000 page views for his site • Received over 450,000 YouTube views • Received 20,000 Facebook Likes, 4,800 Tweets and 4,100 Google +’s • Received print, online and TV coverage across the world from TechCrunch, Gizmodo, to the Washington Post and Wall Street Journal How is it that Matt was able to get publicity from just about every big name media outlet, generate a massive fan base and garner 80 interview offers from top tier, innovative companies while so many of us have to beg for a single interview? What does Matt Epstein know that we don’t? In fact, what do all these people know that we don’t? Hanna Phan sent the “Tweet heard ‘round the world” to the CEO of one of the hottest technology start ups in the world and had 1,290 people share her story on Facebook, 1,854 retweets, 204 LinkedIn shares and multiple job offers from different companies. Nagesh Palepu overcame being nearly deaf at a young age and went through an incredibly journey as his career started as a cashier at McDonald’s and continues today as the CEO of a highly successful company today. Sarah Rossdale started working in a tiny ice cream stand and fought her way to her dream job at Disney, all while competing against her own roommate. Nelson Wang went from Labor Foreman to a Partner Manager managing a multi-million dollar territory of business and built a LinkedIn brand so powerful that he had recruiters from Google, Apple, Verizon, Paypal, and HP reaching out to him. And finally, Jerry, at the tender age of 20, overcame a life and death experience to build an incredibly successful career. His comeback story reminds us of the importance of enjoying the moment and having balance in our lives. So what do they know that we don't? It’s simple really. They all acknowledged one fundamental fact: The resume is dead. Your job opportunities, however, are alive and well. If you learn the secrets on how to be an artist and to create with emotion. This book will teach you how. This step by step guide also includes: ★ 500 of the top interview questions and answers created by Fortune 100 HR experts ★ How to create your own website and blog from scratch in under 10 minutes ★ The top 5 secrets on how to build a standout LinkedIn brand ★ Additional tips on how to leverage new media tools like YouTube, SlideRocket, Twitter, Prezi and Facebook ★ How to garner recommendations from CEOs, VPs, Managers and peers ★ How

    If its purpose is to entertain or to provoke thought, it makes readers want to come back for more.Revised and updated, this guide covers four essential aspects of good writing:Individual words - spelling variations, hyphenation, frequently confused homonyms, frequently misused words and phrases, irregular plurals and negatives, and uses of capitalization and type style to add special meaningsPunctuation - the role of each mark in achieving clarity and affecting tone, and demonstration of how misuses can lead to ambiguitySyntax and structure - agreement of subject and verb, parallel construction, modifiers, tenses, pronouns, active versus passive voice, and moreStyle - advice on the less hard-and-fast areas of clarity and tone, including sentence length and order, conciseness, simplification, reading level, jargon and cliches, and subtletyFilled with self-test exercises and whimsical literary quotations, "Grammatically Correct" steers clear of academic stuffiness, focusing instead on practical strategies and intuitive explanations.Discussions are designed to get to the heart of a concept and provide a sufficient sense of when and how to use it, along with examples that show what ambiguities or misinterpretations might result if the rules are not followed. In cases where there is more than one acceptable way to do something, the approach is not to prescribe one over another but simply to describe the options.Readers of this book will never break the rules of language again - unintentionally."

    It now has 600,000 to a million page hits daily. Every now and then, Munroe would get emails asking him to arbitrate a science debate. 'My friend and I were arguing about what would happen if a bullet got struck by lightning, and we agreed that you should resolve it . . . ' He liked these questions so much that he started up What If. If your cells suddenly lost the power to divide, how long would you survive? How dangerous is it, really, to be in a swimming pool in a thunderstorm? If we hooked turbines to people exercising in gyms, how much power could we produce? What if everyone only had one soulmate?When (if ever) did the sun go down on the British empire? How fast can you hit a speed bump while driving and live?What would happen if the moon went away?In pursuit of answers, Munroe runs computer simulations, pores over stacks of declassified military research memos, solves differential equations, and consults with nuclear reactor operators. His responses are masterpieces of clarity and hilarity, studded with memorable cartoons and infographics. They often predict the complete annihilation of humankind, or at least a really big explosion. Far more than a book for geeks, WHAT IF: Serious Scientific Answers to Absurd Hypothetical Questions explains the laws of science in operation in a way that every intelligent reader will enjoy and feel much the smarter for having read.

    This notion follows us into adulthood, where we tend to simply accept these established beliefs about our skillsets (i.e. that we don’t have “a math brain” or that we aren’t “the creative type”). These damaging—and as new science has revealed, false—assumptions have influenced all of us at some time, affecting our confidence and willingness to try new things and limiting our choices, and, ultimately, our futures.Stanford University professor, bestselling author, and acclaimed educator Jo Boaler has spent decades studying the impact of beliefs and bias on education. In Limitless Mind , she explodes these myths and reveals the six keys to unlocking our boundless learning potential. Her research proves that those who achieve at the highest levels do not do so because of a genetic inclination toward any one skill but because of the keys that she reveals in the book. Our brains are not “fixed,” but entirely capable of change, growth, adaptability, and rewiring. Want to be fluent in mathematics? Learn a foreign language? Play the guitar? Write a book? The truth is not only that anyone at any age can learn anything, but the act of learning itself fundamentally changes who we are, and as Boaler argues so elegantly in the pages of this book, what we go on to achieve.

    This gets my highest recommendation.” –Dr. Joe Vitale, NY Times bestselling author and co-star of the movie, "The Secret" It's time to start a Revolution together--to draw a line in the sand and shout to the world, "I am worth loving...and my Body is worth fighting for!" In Part One of the "Low Carb Revolution" you will learn how just a few crucial changes in what you eat and what you don't eat can help you finally lose your belly fat. In Part Two you'll discover a revolutionary new model of change that will teach you how to easily and permanently get rid of any negative Habit. “I just can't recommend it highly enough. You have never read a book like this before, because no-one has ever written a book like this before.” –Ian Rowland, author of the international bestseller, “Cold Reading” “This book talks to your soul”—Bonnie Andrews This highly original book of 460 pages will take you by the hand and show you how to repair your relationship with yourself. It's been called, "Couples Counseling for you and your beautiful Body!" Includes a link to a FREE 32-minute Audio Affirmation mp3 with powerful and positive messages to help you create the life you desire and deserve! "Every single person on the planet should be required to read this book!" John McLean is a writer, world traveler and hypnotist currently based in Barcelona, Spain. Using the groundbreaking techniques and strategies of the "Low Carb Revolution" he went from smoking five packs of cigarettes per day to ZERO—literally overnight, as well as losing more than 80 lbs. in weight without portion controls or counting calories. “Truly one of the best books on the topic. Kudos!”—Kelli Nina Perkins AMAZON BESTSELLER!

    Therefore, this book provides the fundamental concepts and techniques of real analysis for readers in all of these areas. It helps one develop the ability to think deductively, analyze mathematical situations and extend ideas to a new context. Like the first two editions, this edition maintains the same spirit and user-friendly approach with some streamlined arguments, a few new examples, rearranged topics, and a new chapter on the Generalized Riemann Integral.

    Our inaugural effort is OpenIntro Statistics. Probability is optional, inference is key, and we feature real data whenever possible. Files for the entire book are freely available at openintro.org, and anybody can purchase a paperback copy from amazon.com for under $10.The future for OpenIntro depends on the involvement and enthusiasm of our community. Visit our website, openintro.org. We provide free course management tools, including an online question bank, utilities for creating course quizzes, and many other helpful resources.CERTAIN CONTENT THAT APPEARS ON THIS SITE COMES FROM AMAZON SERVICES LLC. THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED ‘AS IS’ AND IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE OR REMOVAL AT ANY TIME.Can’t find it here? Search Amazon.com Search: All Products Apparel & AccessoriesBabyBeautyBooksCamera & PhotoCell Phones & ServiceClassical MusicComputersComputer & Video GamesDVDElectronicsGourmet FoodHome & GardenMiscellaneousHealth & Personal CareJewelry & WatchesKitchen & HousewaresMagazine SubscriptionsMusicMusical InstrumentsSoftwareSports & OutdoorsTools & HardwareToys & GamesVHS Keywords:

    No great man ever lived that was not a patriot in the highest and truest sense. From the earliest times, the sentiment of patriotism has been aroused in the hearts of men by the narrative of heroic deeds inspired by love of country and love of liberty. This truth furnishes the key to the arrangement and method of the present work. The ten epochs treated are those that have been potential in shaping...

    Having just completed his masterpiece, The General Theory of Relativity—which provided a brand-new theory of gravity and promised a new perspective on the cosmos as a whole—he set out at once to share his excitement with as wide a public as possible in this popular and accessible book.Here published for the first time as a Penguin Classic, this edition of Relativity features a new introduction by bestselling science author Nigel Calder.

    Donna is so sensitive in exploring those issues, a first in a text for that class and a welcome addition.--Nick Eastmond, Utah State UniversityFocused on discussing what is considered to be good research, this text explains quantitative, qualitative, and mixed methods in detail, incorporating the viewpoints of various research paradigms into the descriptions of these methods. Approximately 60% of the content in this Third Edition is new, with lots of fresh examples.Key FeaturesPostpositivist, constructivist, transformative, and pragmatic paradigms discussedConducting research in culturally complex communities emphasized throughoutA step-by-step overview of the entire research process providedNew to this Edition New coverage on how to write a literature review and plan a dissertationNew pedagogy including Extending Your Thinking throughoutThis is a core or supplemental text for research courses in departments of education, psychology, sociology, social work and other human-services disciplines.

    Insomnia, sleep deprivation, snoring and sleep apnea — this comprehensive resource has it all. … Dr. Andrew Weil Andrew Thomas Weil is an American medical doctor, teacher, and best-selling author on holistic health. He is founder, professor, and director of the Arizona Center for Integrative Medicine at the University of Arizona. * * * * * * * * After decades of research, author, Ronald M. Bazar, presents Sleep Secrets, an all-inclusive guide to discovering the underlying causes of your insomnia and how to cure it. From ancient time-proven sleep wisdom to cutting-edge products, from expert sleep-doctor advice to insightful tips, from new research insights to highly successful mind-body methodologies and breakthrough practices, this remarkable resource gives you all of the information you need to change your sleep habits forever. Bazar has had decades of direct experience in natural and alternative health solutions as well as manufacturing and retailing good-sleep products. In the author’s own words: My research in those fields has aided me in my pursuit to find as many pieces as I could to the puzzle of insomnia. What I realize from my research is that every one of us is unique and the problems that stand in our way of having a good night’s sleep are individual to each of us. There is no one-size-fits-all approach to solving your sleep difficulties. And that’s where my new book, Sleep Secrets, displays its strength. Sleep Secrets will give you the information you need to discover the underlying causes of your insomnia. As well, it will encourage you to choose the solutions that work for you, your lifestyle and your special requirements. Sleep Secrets is for you if: • You have trouble sleeping even when you are tired. • You worry instead of falling asleep. • You take more than 30 minutes to fall asleep. • You wake in the night and take more than 30 minutes to fall back to sleep. • You have sleep patterns that negatively affect your sex life. • You want to stop taking sleeping pills. • You wake up exhausted. • You are fatigued at work. • You are drowsy and have difficulty concentrating. • You are moody or depressed. • You suffer from increasing health issues. • You suffer from snoring or sleep apnea. • You realize lack of sleep is affecting your work, your relationships and possibly your physical safety. • You are young or old and suffer from sleep deprivation. Sleep Secrets is a comprehensive, educational, and entertaining resource guide designed to help you find your unique sleep solutions and enjoy deep, restful, rejuvenating sleep. Scroll back to the top of the page and select the Buy button.