He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.com. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the "prediction paradox": The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future.In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good-or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary-and dangerous-science.Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise.

    Now, with Getting Started in Value Investing, Mizrahi breaks down this successful strategy so that anyone can learn how to use it in his or her own investment endeavors. Written in a straightforward and accessible style, this book helps readers gain an overall understanding of the value approach to investing and presents statistics that reveal the overwhelming success of this approach through a variety of markets. Engaging and informative, Getting Started in Value Investing skillfully shows readers how to look for undervalued companies and provides them with the tools they need to succeed in today's markets.Charles S. Mizrahi (Brooklyn, NY) is Managing Partner of CGM Partners Fund LP. He is also editor of Hidden Values Alert, a monthly newsletter focused on value investing. Mizrahi has more than 25 years of investment experience and is frequently quoted in the press. Many of his articles appear online at gurufocus.com as well as on other financial sites.

    Through long-form interviews with them we learn exactly how they did it, what their lives are like now, and what they recommend to anyone just starting out.Of course, "success" is a relative term. During the book you'll meet people ranging from Mark, who amassed a portfolio worth millions, to Serena, whose few houses saved her family from financial ruin. And along the way you'll meet Kim, who was unstoppable prior to the credit crunch, nearly lost everything, and found an innovative way to stay afloat.The day-to-day life of a property investor isn't necessarily what you'd expect either. Fast cars and exotic holidays are represented... but so too are sprinting in pursuit of rent cheques, pottering around in a dressing gown all day, and helping a tenant with cancer by driving her to hospital appointments.This book is less of a "how to" than a "how you could". It won't give you one formula for success, but many practical ideas and inspiring examples that you can use to craft your own property investment story.With all jargon clearly explained, this book will be an educational and entertaining read for those who are yet to get started, as well as a rich source of new ideas for more experienced investors.Praise for "Beyond The Bricks" "Put this on your list of property must-reads" - Property Tribes, Book of the Month"A compelling read" - Property118.com"These stories will entertain and inspire you all the way through to the end" - Your Property Network magazine

    But many managers can't read a balance sheet, wouldn't recognize a liquidity ratio, and don't know how to calculate return on investment. Worse, they don't have any idea where the numbers come from or how reliable they really are. In Financial Intelligence, Karen Berman and Joe Knight teach the basics of finance--but with a twist. Financial reporting, they argue, is as much art as science. Because nobody can quantify everything, accountants always rely on estimates, assumptions, and judgment calls. Savvy managers need to know how those sources of possible bias can affect the financials and that sometimes the numbers can be challenged. While providing the foundation for a deep understanding of the financial side of business, the book also arms managers with practical strategies for improving their companies' performance--strategies, such as "managing the balance sheet," that are well understood by financial professionals but rarely shared with their nonfinancial colleagues. Accessible, jargon-free, and filled with entertaining stories of real companies, Financial Intelligence gives nonfinancial managers the financial knowledge and confidence for their everyday work. Karen Berman and Joe Knight are the owners of the Los Angeles-based Business Literacy Institute and have trained tens of thousands of managers at many leading organizations. Co-author John Case has written several popular books on management.

    Bread, cash, dosh, dough, loot, lucre, moolah, readies, the wherewithal: Call it what you like, it matters. To Christians, love of it is the root of all evil. To generals, it’s the sinews of war. To revolutionaries, it’s the chains of labor. But in The Ascent of Money, Niall Ferguson shows that finance is in fact the foundation of human progress. What’s more, he reveals financial history as the essential backstory behind all history. With the clarity and verve for which he is known, Ferguson elucidates key financial institutions and concepts by showing where they came from. What is money? What do banks do? What’s the difference between a stock and a bond? Why buy insurance or real estate? And what exactly does a hedge fund do? This is history for the present. Ferguson travels to post-Katrina New Orleans to ask why the free market can’t provide adequate protection against catastrophe. He delves into the origins of the subprime mortgage crisis.

    In this brief but insightful series of essays, Frank Gallinelli, the author of the best-selling "What Every Real Estate Investor Needs to Know About Cash Flow…" guides you through some investment principles you can live by. From cautionary tales about the process of due diligence and the hazards of self-styled "experts," to discussion of identifying your investment objectives, Gallinelli helps you focus on best practices.

    Look out below as the rest become reality." Jim Puplava, host, financialsense.com ____________ A year after Conquer the Crash published, stock markets around the world fell precipitously. The rebound of the last six months has convinced some that we are leaving the bear market behind and entering a bull market and economic boom. In this expanded and updated Second Edition of the New York Times bestseller, Prechter returns to provide answers as to what lies ahead. He provides updated economic and market analysis, shows you how to take steps to protect, survive, and prosper and asks, contrary to what most market analysts believe, whether the depression is truly at an end? The expanded and updated edition includes a new 50 page supplement plus current Safety Sources. Written by a leading expert on investing in bear markets, this book is a timely and insightful guide for anyone looking to protect and make money in today's financial markets.Praise for the first edition:..".I am saying that this is 'must reading' for anyone who has even the slightest interest in the stock market and his or her own investing." Richard Russel, Dow Theory Letters"Prechter's understanding of technical, contrary and economic analysis is exceptional" Lawrence G. MacMillan, The Option Strategist"All investors imbued with the idea that stocks should be bought and held forever should read this book." Charlie Minter and Marty Weiner, Comstock Partners, Inc."Conquer the Crash provides disciplined investors with a map, compass and survival guide. Don't leave home without it." Henry Van der Eb, The P.Q. Wall Forecast"A compelling exposition of how both the mechanics and the psychology of the business cycle can be encapsulated in market analysis." Sean Corrigan, Capital-Insight.com"Prechter knows the facts like few others. Read this forceful argument carefully. It can save you from financial loss." James R. Cook, President, Investment Rarities..".required reading for anyone who wants to enhance his or her prospects for the years ahead." Timothy Bost, Editor, Financial Cycles

    He sifts through over 30,000 survey submissions to uncover the world’s favourite number, and meets a mathematician who looks for universes in his garage. He attends the World Mathematical Congress in India, and visits the engineer who designed the first roller-coaster loop. Get hooked on math as Alex delves deep into humankind’s turbulent relationship with numbers, and reveals how they have shaped the world we live in.

     The vast majority of retail stock traders in the stock market keep away from trading in stock derivatives such as Options, believing it to be something that is too complex and too risky. Most of the few who venture out into this terrain with half-baked knowledge usually end in substantial losses over the long term because they simply do not know the safe strategies that one needs to deploy in this space and give up after a while. If you are somebody who has shied away from Options Trading in the past thinking it is beyond comprehension or because you always ended losing money, this is the right book for you.This book is for every person who wants to venture out into Options Trading to earn a steady part-time income with minimal risk.Here's what you get to learn from this book: What stock options are in simple terms! The various types of options and the common terms used in options trading. The underlying principles of options trading using easily-understandable scenarios. Insights into why anyone should trade in options Basic mistakes made by newcomers and how to avoid them. 6 great strategies you can use to consistently make profits while controlling your risk exposure Case studies illustrating the working of each strategy. Note: As an added bonus, this book also gives you access to worksheets you can use to calculate the potential returns and risk exposure for any strategic trade you want to get into or to even just carry out paper-trades! This book adopts an unsophisticated approach to teach options trading to just about anybody and therefore, if you are looking for a place to start learning about options trading and how to earn off it, look no further!

    

    With his trademark clarity and humor, Holt probes the mysteries of quantum mechanics, the quest for the foundations of mathematics, and the nature of logic and truth. Along the way, he offers intimate biographical sketches of celebrated and neglected thinkers, from the physicist Emmy Noether to the computing pioneer Alan Turing and the discoverer of fractals, Benoit Mandelbrot. Holt offers a painless and playful introduction to many of our most beautiful but least understood ideas, from Einsteinian relativity to string theory, and also invites us to consider why the greatest logician of the twentieth century believed the U.S. Constitution contained a terrible contradiction--and whether the universe truly has a future.

    Groundbreaking in every way when first published, this book is a simple, straightforward, direct calculus text. It's popularity is directly due to its broad use of applications, the easy-to-understand writing style, and the wealth of examples and exercises which reinforce conceptualization of the subject matter. The author wrote this text with three objectives in mind. The first was to make the book more student-oriented by expanding discussions and providing more examples and figures to help clarify concepts. To further aid students, guidelines for solving problems were added in many sections of the text. The second objective was to stress the usefulness of calculus by means of modern applications of derivatives and integrals. The third objective, to make the text as accurate and error-free as possible, was accomplished by a careful examination of the exposition, combined with a thorough checking of each example and exercise.

    Becoming an expert on the apartment syndication terminology2. Setting a specific, quantifiable goal and creating a long-term, motivating vision3. Building a powerful brand that attracts passive investors4. Evaluating and selecting the real estate market that will be the launching point for your apartment empire5. Surrounding yourself with an all-star real estate team6. Tapping into your existing network to find passive investors7. Creating a lead generation machine that pumps out qualified off-market apartment deals8. Selecting the ideal business plan to maximize returns to passive investors9. Learning the science behind evaluating, qualifying and submitting offers on apartment deals10. Preparing and presenting an apartment offering to your passive investors and securing financial commitments11. Impressing your investors by effectively implementing the business plan and exceeding their return expectations

     If you try to buy the dips, you will get crushed. If you try to short a bear market and don't know what you are doing, you will also get crushed. In fact, most of the tricks that work in bull markets don't work in bear markets. During a bear market, there is always a vast transfer of wealth from the amateurs to the professionals. Don't let that happen to you again. If you lost money in 2008-2009, make sure that you and your family are prepared this time. In this book, you will learn: How to spot a bear market on the horizon The best way to make money using put options How to trade a bear market using stock index futures An automated trading system (never before revealed) that profits from the high volatility of a bear market 3 ways to know that a bear market is almost over How to load up on undervalued stocks at the end of a bear market And much, much more Amazon best-selling author and retired hedge fund manager, Matthew Kratter will teach you the secrets that he has used to profitably trade the last 2 bear markets. These trading strategies are extremely powerful, and yet so easy to use. And if you ever get stuck, you can always reach out to the author by email (provided inside of the book), and he will help you. Get started today Scroll to the top of this page and click BUY NOW.

    So we’ve created a guide that will show you (or a friend or relative who’s just getting started): * How much you need to start investing. * The key steps for building long-term wealth. * Proven ways to find great companies to buy. Understanding these life-changing concepts will get any investor on the path to financial freedom. Built upon our 13 Steps to Investing Foolishly, The Motley Fool Guide to Investing for Beginners includes our top investors’ biggest mistakes, insights into different styles of investing, and much more. Plus, you get 3 great stock picks that we think could make a strong foundation to any portfolio.