Essentially, you make an initial guess, and then get more data to improve it. Bayes Theorem, or Bayes Rule, has a ton of real world applications, from estimating your risk of a heart attack to making recommendations on Netflix But It Isn't That Complicated This book is a short introduction to Bayes Theorem. It is only 15 pages long, and is intended to show you how Bayes Theorem works as quickly as possible. The examples are intentionally kept simple to focus solely on Bayes Theorem without requiring that the reader know complicated probability distributions. If you want to learn the basics of Bayes Theorem as quickly as possible, with some easy to duplicate examples, this is a good book for you.

     They can drag you down or Lift You Higher and Higher to better places than you could have dreamed of. Many people focus on improving their habits, and this can be useful, but it is very difficult to make a long-lasting positive change when you don’t have the Right Thoughts in mind. With this book You will learn what the Right Thoughts are, and they will help reveal the path to your best life. The 7 Thoughts to Live Your Life By will provide you with the most compelling Thoughts that have the power to help you Make Your Dreams into a Reality , find happiness, achieve success, overcome the obstacles on your path, and become your best self. Internationally bestselling author I. C. Robledo discovered the 7 Thoughts after suffering through a dark depression. While meditating one day, he asked himself how he could live a better life and the 7 Thoughts came to him in a flash of insight. He transformed his life with the 7 Thoughts and would like to help you to do the same. These Thoughts have also been found in religious and philosophical texts from the East to the West, and they have been supported through modern scientific findings. Are You ready to tap into an Eternal Wisdom that transcends any single era, philosophy, religion, or culture? Are You Ready to Awaken? When you learn the 7 Thoughts and master them, you will be ready to Awaken and be able to: Consciously use the 7 Thoughts to create a good, happy, peaceful, and meaningful life Understand that a simple Thought holds immense power, and can have effects on the other side of the world Be a great source of positive energy, and diminish or stop creating experiences of sorrow, anxiety, stress, and pain for yourself and for others Turn a Superpain into a Superpower, meaning to convert painful, difficult, or negative experiences into superpowers, or positive and desirable experiences Accept the Now, love the Now, and understand that the Now is all there is, rather than needing things to be some other way Discover your gift in order to give it away to the world Align your thoughts, words, actions, beliefs, values, and desires to become a unified, happy, and transcendent being Become a limitless being and shine with the stars with the 7 Thoughts to Live Your Life By. Pick up your copy today by scrolling to the top of the page and clicking BUY NOW.

    A bestselling and definitive guide to marital intimacy for Christian couples, learn how to deepen sexual pleasure and enjoy God’s gift of sexual intimacy with your spouse.It can be difficult to find biblically based sexual advice. A licensed psychologist and family therapist, Dr. Douglas Rosenau answers specific and often unasked questions about sexual topics, presenting married couples with detailed techniques and skills to deepen their sexual pleasure and improve their marriages.In this easy-to-read guide, Dr. Rosenau covers topics including:Building a biblical foundation of knowledge about sexual intimacyEnhancing pleasure and enjoying passionate intimacyOvercoming common hurdlesResolving problems and healing brokennessGrounded in Scripture and written by a pioneer of Christian sex therapy, A Celebration of Sex is comprehensive, direct, and honest, treating sex with the respect it deserves and a Christ-like foundation. An excellent tool for premarital education and counseling, it’s a must-read for Christian spouses.

    This funny, practical book by Andy Cope, the Dr of Happiness, will show you how to transform your thinking, change gear and find a fresh new perspective that will leave you better focused on the things that matter, healthier and a great deal happier.ABOUT THIS SERIESLittle Books are accessible and engaging books with a focus on personal development and business topics, delivering quick, outcome-focused results, ideal for self-improvement junkies, commuters, or business readers.

    The subjects dealt with in "The Other Victorians" are not only those to have been "shocking" in the Victorian period. The way these subjects were regarded - and the way our notions of the Victorians continue to change, as the efforts of contemporary scholarship restore them to their full historical dimensions - are matters today of some surprise and wonder.Making use, for the first time, of the extensive collection of Victoriana at the Kinsey Institute for Sex Research, Marcus first examines the writings of Dr. William Acton, who may be said to represent the "official views" of sexuality held by Victorian society, and of Henry Spencer Ashbee, the first and most important bibliographer-scholar of pornography. He then turns to the most significant work of its kind from the period, the eleven-volume anonymous autobiography "My Secret Life". There follows an analysis of four pornographic Victorian novels - an analysis that throws an oblique but fascinating light on the classics of Victorian literature - and a review of the odd flood of Victorian publications devoted to flagellation. The book concludes with a chapter propounding a general theory of pornography as a sociological phenomenon.With the publication of "The Other Victorians", understanding of this period took a giant stride forward. Most of the writers and writings discussed by Marcus belong to Victorian sub-literature rather than to literature proper; in this way the work remains connected to a consideration of the exotic sub-literature. A brilliantly written book in its own right, this work transformed the study of the Victorian period as did no other.

    He pleaded Not Guilty. Each of Shipman's alleged victims was middle-aged or elderly and each was his patient and neighbour. The macabre exhumations of some of the bodies devastated the suburban community of Hyde in Greater Manchester, and it is the authors' inside knowledge of the region that provides the context for their investigation of the case.

    Sex has become just sex. But while society has taken sex too far, the church hasn't taken it far enough.God wants couples to make love in marriage-with passion, with purpose, and with pleasure. Marriages aren't experiencing all the benefits that come from a healthy sex life. Couples are facing a barrage of influences that keep them from connecting with each other regularly-the kids, the career, the house, the errands, etc.SEXPERIMENT shows people that sex in marriage is more than just sex, and it's more than a chore. The Youngs believe it's time to get back to understanding the context of sex in marriage and that it's time for couples to break the barriers keeping them from a healthy sexual relationship. Couples ought to experience the benefits of having sex regularly, intentionally, and creatively. SEXPERIMENT will allow couples to discover that the intersection of God and sex can lead to a life punctuated by exclamation marks!

    The penis is every guy's pleasure center, yet no woman has ever received the instruction manual until now. Includes more than 50 hand and oral love-making techniques with 100 titillating illustrations to guide your learning process. Empowers women to embrace their sexuality by learning new tricks for pleasing their partners.

    Winston Churchill had it.Is your child also suffering from A.D.H.D.?Though medical science has known about Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder for almost one hundred years, for most of us A.D.H.D. remains a new and baffling condition. Now, at last, here is a clear and comprehensive guide to this common disorder.As renowned pediatrician Dr. Christopher Green explains, A.D.H.D. is actually a cluster of behaviors--including inattentiveness, impulsiveness, and overactivity--that causes children (mostly boys) to underachieve at school and behave poorly at home despite high intelligence and quality parenting. Understanding A.D.H.D. covers every aspect of the disorder, from diagnosis to treatment. Inside you'll discover ¸  How to tell if a child has A.D.H.D. ¸  Practical solutions to common behavior problems at home and school ¸  When and how to medicate your child ¸  The best sports for someone with A.D.H.D. ¸  Measures to take for building self-esteem   And much more!Informative, reassuring, and up-to-date, Understanding A.D.H.D. is an invaluable resource for parents, teachers, and health professionals.

     Remember what coaching's really about. It's about looking for ways to touch the soul, and having someone's life change. Coaching simply can't be sold like other things are sold. And that turns out to be good news. Once you begin practicing true connection, you become successful. In 37 Ways to BOOST Your Coaching Practice, Steve Chandler shows just what steps to take - and the 17 lies to avoid - to give your prospective clients a powerful experience of the work you do. Learn to fill your practice by moving beyond coaching-as-a-concept. Creating clients happens one coaching conversation at a time, one true connection at a time.