These areas of knowledge have converged into a modern theory of epidemiology that has been slow to penetrate into textbooks, particularly at the introductory level. Epidemiology: An Introduction closes the gap. It begins with a brief, lucid discussion of causal thinking and causal inference and then takes the reader through the elements of epidemiology, focusing on the measures of disease occurrence and causal effects. With these building blocks in place, the reader learns how to design, analyze and interpret problems that epidemiologists face, including confounding, the role of chance, and the exploration of interactions. All these topics are layered on the foundation of basic principles presented in simple language, with numerous examples and questions for further thought.

    Students are provided with an exceptionally clear and coherent understanding of child development, emphasizing the interrelatedness of all domains physical, cognitive, emotional, and social throughout the text narrative and in special features. Focusing on education and social policy as critical pieces of the dynamic system in which the child develops, Berk pays meticulous attention to the most recent scholarship in the field. Berk helps students connect their learning to their personal and professional areas of interest and their future pursuits as parents, educators, heath care providers, counselors, social workers, and researchers."

    Written by the founder and editor of MarketBeat, a daily investment newsletter with more than 425,000 subscribers, this invaluable resource will show you how to identify investments that offer lower volatility, higher returns and an automatic income stream of dividends that you can live off of during retirement. This strategy is easy to implement and will set you off on a path toward true financial independence. Here's what you'll learn: How you can create an automatic income stream you can actually live on during retirement. How to build an investment portfolio of rock-solid companies that outperform the S&P 500. What criteria can identify dividend stocks that consistently return 10% or more per year. Which newsletters, websites and other resources you should use to research dividend stocks. Why you won't be tempted to cash out your dividend stock portfolio during the next recession. How to reduce your tax bill by choosing the right dividend investments and the right accounts. Why dividend-growth investing is superior to traditional income investing strategies. Market risk is near an all-time high and interest rates are at a historic low. There has never been a better time to switch to a more sensible wealth-generation strategy. If you want to improve your market returns, spend less time worrying about money and achieve true financial independence, this book is for you.

    Suddenly, every aspiring PM wanted a fast-talking, sharp-thinking ad man on their team to help dazzle voters. But what were the consequences of their fixation with the snappy and simplistic? Sam Delaney embarks on a journey to expose the shocking truth behind the general election campaigns of the last four decades. Everything is here - from the man who snorted coke in Number 10 to the politician who fell in love with her own ad exec, from the fist-fights in Downing Street to the all-day champagne binges in Whitehall offices. Sam Delaney talks to the men at the heart of the battles - Alistair Campbell, Peter Mandelson, Tim Bell, Maurice Saatchi, Norman Tebbit, Neil Kinnock - and many more. Dark, revealing and frequently hilarious, Mad Men and Bad Men tells the story of how unelected, unaccountable men ended up informing policy - and how the British public paid the price.

    A gripping thriller from the author of the Goodfellowe Series.

    Written by highly experienced authors and Cambridge examiners, this book offers full support to students. Simple and clear language, colourful photos and international examples make this book accessible to students from around the world. Exam-style questions at the end of each chapter reinforce knowledge and skills and offer thorough exam practice. This book comes fully endorsed by Cambridge. The coursebook comes with a free CD-ROM which offers guidance on practicals, useful tips to help in revision and interactive material to engage students

    Cassandra's parents job takes them away from their two children. Cassie's father gets a call for him and his wife to take a trip to Australia, thousands of miles away from their children. They accept the offer but know they can't leave their seventeen and eight year old home alone for a week so they call a sitter.Little did they know they hired a dangerous psychopath killer... Will Cassandra and Ben escape the harmful hands of their psychotic sitter? Or has he already set his eyes on the young and pure Cassandra...

    syndicate a global monopoly of guns, oil, and drugs is consciously destroying American values and offers prescriptive solutions to fix our nation.According to the Declaration of Independence, all men are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. But America today has failed to live up to the Founding Fathers ideals.In 2014 there were three million homeless people in the United States and almost 20 million vacant homes. The most technologically advanced nation in the world has a life expectancy lower than that of Chile and Bahrain. And citizens of the wealthiest country on the planet continue to ingest toxic chemicals through their food, their vaccines, and even their water. America, Jim Marrs argues, has been seized by a culture of death. And who promulgates this culture? The globalist masters of the G.O.D. Syndicate guns, oil, and drugs. Pushed to the brink by this lethal triumvirate, Americans increasingly find themselves headed toward an inexorable decline ending in servitude and premature death.In "Population Control," Marrs takes aim at our deteriorating nation and offers practical steps we can take to save it. As he exposes how daily living from the food we eat to the water we drink to the drugs we ingest pushes us closer to an early grave, he shows us how a return to true prosperity is possible and explains what we need to do to fight back and save our lives and our nation's soul."

    It's packed with comforting, easy-to-make dishes that will become your everyday favourites and go-to fridge raiders.Recipes include ideas to start the day right, for lunch on the go, some long and lazy slow cooking, dishy dinners, sharing feasts, party time and irresistible sweetest things. From burgers to brownies, casseroles to cakes, Happy Vegan shows you that vegan food is for everyone ... and you won't even notice there's no meat or dairy. Just happy faces. PRAI SE FOR FEARNE COTTON'S COOKBOOKS: '... easy ways to feed everybody and put a smile on their faces while you're at it' Sunday Mirror 'Congrats on your brill new book!' Jamie Oliver

    Numerous examples are provided to reinforce the concepts and relevant case studies illustrate the concepts and mechanisms described.

    It will change your life. Simplicity at its best: The checklist is one of the world’s oldest—and most effective—productivity systems. If anything, author and entrepreneur Alexandra Franzen shares, it is just as valuable now as it was during the days of the Roman Empire. Writing out a simple checklist allows us to tangibly plan our day and set in stone what we want to accomplish.Cut out unnecessary noise: There are countless apps and organizational systems out there to help us straighten out our lives, but often they only add to the madness. Trying to keep up leaves us feeling drained and overwhelmed. Learn how to choose your highest priorities, set realistic goals, celebrate tiny wins, and feel calmer every day with the magic of checklists.Be realistic about the time in a day: By physically writing down our tasks on a single piece of paper, we force ourselves to limit how much we can do in a day. Too often, we cram our day with tasks and chores and leave almost no space for self-care or time with loved ones. We end up disappointed in our inability to complete our never-ending to-do list. Checklists help you plan your day in a more gentle, realistic way. You accomplish what needs to be done—and enjoy things you want to be doing, too. In the life-changing Checklist Book, learn: The history of the checklist and why it remains to be relevant and effective today The science behind the success of checklists, such as the instant satisfaction we feel when we put a check next to a finished task How to create a basic daily checklist—and checklists for specific situations, like moving to a new city or navigating a divorce Readers who love life-improvement books like The Bullet Journal Method, Free to Focus and Atomic Habits will love The Checklist Book.

    You might know me from my blog. This is some stuff I do with my life. Why did I write an erotic memoir? The most obvious answer is ‘because I’m a pervert’ – I like sex; I like talking about it, reading about it, doing it, watching other people do it, and hearing other people’s stories. This is my story. Don’t read it if you’re going to be offended by whips, submission or lots of sex. Who am I? Not telling. And if you think you know, please don’t spoil the secret…

    But sometimes it's impossible to stay consistent with a new skill or habit. It's easy to fall into the trap where you focus only on learning and never get around to implementing the information. The truth is: You can learn anything... without spending lots of money... without dedicating thousands of hours to the process... and often without leaving the comfort of your home. Anyone can develop a talent with the right mix of practice, motivation, and coaching. And that's what you'll learn in Novice to Expert . DOWNLOAD:: Novice to Expert -- 6 Steps to Learn Anything, Increase Your Knowledge, and Master New Skills. Written by Wall Street Journal bestselling author S.J. Scott, Novice to Expert will show you how to: Set a goal to learn a new skill Fully immerse yourself in this world Meet others who share a similar passion Identify the "right things" to practice daily Master a skill so you can teach others about it Many people don't believe they can teach themselves. We live in an age of abundant information, yet there is a common myth that the only way to learn is through a formal educational environment or by hiring an expensive coach. That's why you'll discover: 6 Proven Resources to Teach Yourself a Skill The #1 Technique for Taking Actionable Notes 13 Questions to Ask Yourself Before Picking a Skill Two "Must-Have" Apps to Manage a Knowledge-Based Project 8 Steps to Deliberately Practice a New Skill 6 Habit-Learning Challenges (and How to Overcome Them) Plus... You will get access to the free download, 147 Websites to Learn Something New. Throughout Novice to Expert, you will discover how to work at a skill during your spare time so it doesn’t interfere with your busy life. The trick here is to self-educate and implement what you learn during those small pockets of time that happen throughout the day. Would You Like To Know More? Download now to learn anything and master that next skill. Scroll to the top of the page and select the Buy Now button.

    I’m finally free of stalkers. I am free to live a normal, happy life. Going to parties and making friends. The best part is, I’m finally safe. Or so I thought. My world comes crashing down around me when I start receiving mysterious gifts. Somebody is out for revenge and I will figure out who. I’m not the same girl I was last year. I refuse to be a victim. Welcome to my college life.

    The book house of Margham publications presents, Corporate Accounting Vol.1 (Revised).