Essentially, you make an initial guess, and then get more data to improve it. Bayes Theorem, or Bayes Rule, has a ton of real world applications, from estimating your risk of a heart attack to making recommendations on Netflix But It Isn't That Complicated This book is a short introduction to Bayes Theorem. It is only 15 pages long, and is intended to show you how Bayes Theorem works as quickly as possible. The examples are intentionally kept simple to focus solely on Bayes Theorem without requiring that the reader know complicated probability distributions. If you want to learn the basics of Bayes Theorem as quickly as possible, with some easy to duplicate examples, this is a good book for you.

    This hilarious and informative book is designed for anyone who is sci-curious and wants to know more about the world around them, especially the elements of everyday science that other books ignore.

    In Dark Winter, author John L. Casey, a former White House national space policy advisor, NASA headquarters consultant, and space shuttle engineer tells the truth about ominous changes taking place in the climate and the Sun.Casey’s research into the Sun’s activity, which began almost a decade ago, resulted in discovery of a solar cycle that is now reversing from its global warming phase to that of dangerous global cooling for the next thirty years or more. This new cold climate will dramatically impact the world’s citizens. In Dark Winter, he provides evidence of the following:• The end of global warming• The beginning of a “solar hibernation,” a historic reduction in the energy output of the Sun• A long-term drop in Earth’s temperatures• The start of the next climate change to decades of dangerously cold weather• The high probability of record earthquakes and volcanic eruptionsA sobering look at Earth’s future, Dark Winter predicts worldwide, crop- destroying cold; food shortages and riots in the United States and abroad; significant global loss of life; and social, political, and economic upheaval.

    Readers will learn about each animal's anatomy, behavior, and more. Then compare and contrast the battling animals before finally discovering the winner!This nonfiction series is full of facts, photos, and realistic illustrations, and it includes a range of mammals, sea creatures, insects, and dinosaurs to satisfy all kinds of animal fans.

    This third edition, entitled Medical Parasitology in the Philippines, contains an updated version of the global, regional, and national status of parasitic diseases, with particular focus on the Philippines, as well as Southeast Asia and the Western Pacific Regions. In this latest edition, the life cycles developed by the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are utilized, and as in the other earlier editions, Bench Aids developed by the World Health Organization are included for reference purposes. For the first time, relevant policies and guidelines from the Department of Health are listed for further guidance of the readers. This edition also includes new sections that address recent developments in the field and nationally relevant global interests such as neglected tropical diseases, preventive chemotherapy, emporiatrics, and laboratory biosafety.

    Ben Ambridge takes these findings and invites the reader to test their knowledge of themselves, their friends, and their families through quizzes, jokes, and games. You’ll measure your personality, intelligence, moral values, skill at drawing, capacity for logical reasoning, and more—all of it adding up to a greater knowledge of yourself, a higher “Psy-Q”.    Lighthearted, fun, and accessible, this is the perfect introduction to psychology that can be fully enjoyed and appreciated by readers of all ages.Take Dr. Ben’s quizzes to learn:- If listening to Mozart makes you smarter- Whether or not your boss is a psychopath- How good you are at waiting for a reward (and why it matters)- Why we find symmetrical faces more attractive- What your taste in art says about you

     A distraught woman who regrets not going to see a GP sooner. More Googled self-diagnoses than one can count… After three years as one of London’s doctors - as full-time night-time GP doing the house calls that no-one else wants to do - Alex Rudd has switched to working in surgeries. Rudd travels to a different place surgery each day, helping those struggling to cope with patient numbers and seeing those that might not otherwise be seen. With limited time to spend on each patient, he must walk the difficult line between caring for patients while diagnosing and prescribing efficiently. Hilarious diagnoses mix with genuine tragedies as Rudd sees a variety of patients, with all sorts of medical conditions. In this follow-up to “London Call-Out: Confessions of a Doctor in the Capital”, Rudd presents us with another window into the world of the freelance GP today, and the challenges they face. With moments that stir admiration and sadness, this timely and insightful memoir is as thought-provoking as it is entertaining.

    The Perfection Point is ideal for sports fans interested in the scientific basis of athletic excellence and a fascinating read for science fans interested in the physics of sports.

    So it's not surprising that we persist in thinking that we're in with a chance, whether we're playing the lottery or working out the likelihood of extra-terrestrial life. In Chance, a (not entirely) random selection of the New Scientist's sharpest minds provide fascinating insights into luck, randomness, risk and probability. From the secrets of coincidence to placing the perfect bet, the science of random number generation to the surprisingly haphazard decisions of criminal juries, it explores these and many other tantalising questions.Following on from the bestselling Nothing and Question Everything, this book will open your eyes to the weird and wonderful world of chance - and help you see when some things, in fact, aren't random at all.

    You know about friends and family who are struggling with diabetes and trying to live a normal life. Well, if you or any of your family members are struggling with diabetes, then you understand these symptoms very well. You would have also heard that diabetes is irreversible. Now, here is the deal – Diabetes can be reversed and this book will teach you how. This book will guide you how to avoid the negative consequences of diabetes and live a happy energetic life Here is a preview of what you will learn. What is diabetes Types of diabetes you might have and the symptoms Factors causing diabetes Tips to manage your diabetes The diabetic nutritional strategy Foods to consume for diabetes Foods to avoid Exercises for controlling diabetes Stress relief for diabetes Supplements to help your diabetes Tags:Diabetes, Diabetes Cure, Reverse Diabetes, Type 2, Diabetes Solution, Diabetes Destroyer, Diabetes Cookbook, Diabetes Diet, Diabetes without Drugs, Diabetes Awareness, Diabetes Book, Diabetes for Dummies, Diabetes Breakthrough, Diabetes Care, Diabetes Diet Plan, Diabetes Treatment

    Although Australia’s prompt, science-led response to COVID-19 has not been perfect, it has saved tens of thousands of lives. But for decades, governments have ignored, ridiculed or understated the advice of scientists on the climate emergency.Now, in the wake of the megafires of 2020, a time of reckoning has arrived. In The Climate Cure renowned climate scientist Tim Flannery takes aim at those responsible for the campaign of obfuscation and denial that has already cost so many Australian lives and held back action on climate change.Flannery demands a new approach, based on the nation’s response to COVID-19, that will lead to effective government policies. The Climate Cure is an action plan for our future. We face a fork in the road, and must decide now between catastrophe and survival.

    Insurgent takes place in a futuristic Chicago with a dystopian society split into factions that are all fighting for power. Readers see more of the world Roth created as Tris and her boyfriend Tobias travel between factions' territories. Gain new perspectives of the story and characters while reading this literary analysis alongside Insurgent. This sequel Insurgent, creates a seamless transition as the story picks up right after the events of Divergent. Throughout the book, Tris struggles with survivor's guilt after making the hasty decision to shoot her friend. Readers witness the turmoil in Tris' relationship that is exacerbated by her self-destructive actions. The first-person narrative offers an insider's view of her grief-stricken psyche, and the chaotic dystopian society offers an ideal setting for the main character to seek self-sacrificing atonement. This analysis of Insurgent provides plenty of discussion and debate topics to enhance your reading experience. Explore Roth's futuristic world and the rocky romance between Tris and Tobias as you enjoy this exciting sequel.

    This eBook is going to offer you an inside look at some of these tips and tricks that you will be able to use in your own version of Minecraft.These 30 Sneaky Minecraft Tricks have all been tested to work and show you exactly how they can be done so that you can figure them out quite easily. These tricks range from finding the best enchantments to use on your gear to using a secret hidden method to see all ore underground without having to download a mod.Strap in and hang on for the ride of your life. This tips and tricks train track is covered in power rails and is ready to take off!DOWNLOAD NOW!

    The latest edition offers greatly expanded coverage of directed mutagenesis and protein engineering, therapeutic agents, and genetic engineering of plants. Updated chapters reflect recent developments in biotechnology and the societal issues related to it, such as cloning, gene therapy, and patenting and releasing genetically engineered organisms. Over 480 figures, including 200 that are new in this edition, illustrate all key concepts. "Milestones" summarize important research papers in the history of biotechnology and their effects on the field. As in previous editions, the authors clearly explain all concepts and techniques to provide maximum understanding of the subject, avoiding confusing scientific jargon and excessive detail wherever possible. Each chapter concludes with a summary, references, and review questions. Ideally suited as a text for third- and fourth-year undergraduates as well as graduate students, this book is also an excellent reference for health professionals, scientists, engineers, or attorneys interested in biotechnology.

    Written by highly experienced authors and Cambridge examiners, this book offers full support to students. Simple and clear language, colourful photos and international examples make this book accessible to students from around the world. Exam-style questions at the end of each chapter reinforce knowledge and skills and offer thorough exam practice. This book comes fully endorsed by Cambridge. The coursebook comes with a free CD-ROM which offers guidance on practicals, useful tips to help in revision and interactive material to engage students