Essentially, you make an initial guess, and then get more data to improve it. Bayes Theorem, or Bayes Rule, has a ton of real world applications, from estimating your risk of a heart attack to making recommendations on Netflix But It Isn't That Complicated This book is a short introduction to Bayes Theorem. It is only 15 pages long, and is intended to show you how Bayes Theorem works as quickly as possible. The examples are intentionally kept simple to focus solely on Bayes Theorem without requiring that the reader know complicated probability distributions. If you want to learn the basics of Bayes Theorem as quickly as possible, with some easy to duplicate examples, this is a good book for you.

    

    It emphasizes forms suitable for students and researchers whose interest lies in solving equations rather than in general theory. Solutions to odd-numbered problems appear at the end. 1957 edition.

    Worked examples and exercises support the text. An ELBS/LPBB edition is available.

    The specialities of each individual number, from zero to nine, and the little mathematical tricks as shown by Shakuntala Devi, all combine to make the reader learn to befriend numbers and excel at maths.

    

    She’s young and the world is still turning, so eventually, she has to move on. If Satan had a son, it would be Quadim. Even though he saved her in a sense, he was far from a knight in shining armor. Being dependent on him and having love for his brother that she helped to care for, made her stay in a dead end situation for far too long. When she wants to leave, Quadim doesn’t get the memo, and he vows that if he can’t have her nobody will. 
 Kyreem aka Panama is home from a prison bid and trying to do the right thing, but he just can’t get with being broke. Reconnecting with two old friends puts him in the right situations to come up and rekindle love, but it also places him directly in the middle of some beef.

    When Ocean took her vows for better or worse, she never anticipated that the worse would come in a form of another woman who thought she deserved the #1 spot in her husband's life. Since when did you have to compete for you own husband?That may sound like a silly question but for Ocean, it's all too real.On the other hand, Ari feels as if she's met the man of her dreams but there's only one problem, he's married. From what he tell her, his marriage is on paper only but how long can that last and what happens when two women are in love with the same man and refuse to give in?This story is told through the eyes of the mistress who feels she's more than earned her position, the wife who has secrets of her own and the husband who thinks he has everything under control. Everyone in this triangle is carrying a secret but whose secret is dark enough to shatter their lives in a million pieces?The wrong kind of love will have you doing and accepting things you'd never thought you would. Welcome to the craziest love triangle you'll every encounter and remember, never form an opinion until you understand all sides...

    She was forever at war with her father Harry. And she became estranged from him after she refused to give up her lover, a man her father loathed. But after he dies, Alice has to reassess their stormy relationship. And when her quiet, retiring, sixty-year old mother looks set to remarry less than a year after their father's death, the rest of the family are in uproar. Who is this stranger who has stolen their mother's heart and quite possibly her wealth, her siblings demand to know? Alice, however, believes that there is more to her gentle mother's new love than meets the eye. And she realises that it's not her mother's future that needs to be examined - but her past. From the metro bustle of London to the vibrant lure of Chicago, Alice searches for a truth that has been hidden through the years. And yet if she finds it, can she, or indeed the entire Melrose family, deal with the consequences? 'My Mother's Wedding' is a moving story of family, love and secrets that will grip readers from the first page to the last. 'An incredible story that kept me hooked.' - Holly Kinsella, best-selling author of 'Uptown Girl'. Frankie McGowan is a journalist and former magazine editor. Her novels include 'A Kept Woman' and 'A Better Life.' Endeavour Press is the UK's leading independent publisher of digital books.

    Just read this till the end You don’t have to buy this book. Just read this till end & you will learn something that will change the way you do math forever. Warning: I am revealing this secret only to the first set of readers who will buy this book & plan to put this secret back inside the book once I have enough sales. So read this until the very end while you still can.School taught you the wrong way to do mathThe way you were taught to do math, uses a lot of working memory. Working memory is the short term memory used to complete a mental task. You struggle because trying to do mental math the way you were taught in school, overloads your working memory. Let me show you what I mean with an example:Try to multiply the 73201 x 3. To do this you multiply the following:1 x 3 =0 x 3 =2 x 3 =3 x 3 =7 x 3 =This wasn’t hard, & it might have taken you just seconds to multiply the individual numbers. However, to get the final answer, you need to remember every single digit you calculated to put them back together. It takes effort to get the answer because you spend time trying to recall the numbers you already calculated. Math would be easier to do in your head if you didn’t have to remember so many numbers. Imagine when you tried to multiply 73201 x 3, if you could have come up with the answer, in the time it took you to multiply the individual numbers. Wouldn’t you have solved the problem faster than the time it would have taken you to punch in the numbers inside a calculator? Do the opposite of what you were taught in schoolThe secret of doing mental math is to calculate from left to right instead of from right to left. This is the opposite of what you were taught in school. This works so well because it frees your working memory almost completely. It is called the LR Method where LR stands for Left to Right.Lets try to do the earlier example where we multiplied 73201 x 3. This time multiply from left to right, so we get:7 x 3 = 213 x 3 = 93 x 2 = 60 x 3 = 03 x 1 = 3Notice that you started to call out the answer before you even finished the whole multiplication problem. You don’t have to remember a thing to recall & use later. So you end up doing math a lot faster. The Smart ChoiceYou could use what you learnt & apply it to solve math in the future. This might not be easy, because we just scratched the surface. I've already done the work for you. Why try to reinvent the wheel, when there is already a proven & tested system you can immediately apply. This book was first available in video format & has helped 10,000+ students from 132 countries. It is available at ofpad.com/mathcourse to enroll. This book was written to reach students who consume the information in text format. You can use the simple techniques in this book to do math faster than a calculator effortlessly in your head, even if you have no aptitude for math to begin with.Imagine waking up tomorrow being able to do lightning fast math in your head. Your family & friends will look at you like you are some kind of a genius. Since calculations are done in your head, you will acquire better mental habits in the process. So you will not just look like a genius. You will actually be one. Limited Time BonusWeekly training delivered through email for $97 is available for free as a bonus at the end of this book for the first set of readers. Once we have enough readers, this bonus will be charged $97. Why Price Is So LowThis book is priced at a ridiculous discount only to get our first set of readers. When we have enough readers the price will go up.

    The remarkable story of the brand that was able to pull off the near-impossible challenge of integrating itself into the food habits of a nation strongly habituated to eating indigenous sweets is recounted here. It is a behind-the-scenes look at the Cadbury Dairy Milk journey in India over the last six decades.

    This book is very useful for all Students

    The calculus is not a hard subject and I prove this through an easy to read and obvious approach spanning only 100 pages. I have written this book with the following type of student in mind; the non-traditional student returning to college after a long break, a notoriously weak student in math who just needs to get past calculus to obtain a degree, and the garage tinkerer who wishes to understand a little more about the technical subjects. This book is meant to address the many fundamental thought-blocks that keep the average 'mathaphobe' (or just an interested person who doesn't have the time to enroll in a course) from excelling in mathematics in a clear and concise manner. It is my sincerest hope that this book helps you with your needs.Show more Show less

     With all established infrastructure and support systems gone, they must learn new skills quickly: skills which have become unfamiliar to most people living in modern times. By turns moving, shocking and humorous, it is a tale of ordinary people trying to build new lives in extraordinary circumstances and the practical issues they have to address. In a lawless country where societal norms have been destroyed, they encounter other survivors - some friendly; some hostile. But do they have what it takes to survive in this harsh new world? “Really enjoyed it. Flowed really well. Loved the detail you put into things and made me feel like I could actually survive!” Stuart R. “Your style is quite chatty and easy to read and your descriptions are evocative: it's very easy to visualise things! You also reminded me a bit of elements of Day of The Triffids, I think in style. TBH I really liked your general style - it's engaging without being hard work.” Dee T. “ Wow! It's over. Loved it and loved the ending… What was great is we were both always looking forward to the next chapter. Brilliant. We both loved it.” Sue Z. “Great stuff… thoroughly enjoyed it… The story is way too good not to be shared with millions of people.” Ant Z. “I can't believe it's over! I just finished it: it was really good! And that last sentence makes me hopeful for a sequel!!” Steph L. “The pace of the novel is about right, with the reader able to follow the characters through their journeys, both individually and combined. It feels moralistic without being prescriptive, leaving the reader to make up their own mind about where they would stand in such a circumstance.” Michael S.